Now, before I get killed too much here, I want to be clear that I don’t think anybody should jump to far off of Hanley’s bandwagon. He is still number 3 on both my single season and keeper rankings heading into the 2011 season. There is no reason to believe that he won’t bounce back in a big way. Even a slight increase in every category could give him a top 5 line and that is a very realistic expectation. He is still the best player at a shallow shortstop position. While I think that Tulowitzki can push him there, Tulo’s owner just have to hope they can get 150 games out of their superstar shortstop. Last year was the first time in 5 years that Hanley failed to reach that plateau and, including last year Hanley averages 152 games a year for the last 5 years. That is reliability that Tulo owners can’t expect. In four full seasons, Tulo has only played 152 or more one time (2007). Per game, I buy into the argument that Tulo is now the best shortstop in the fantasy game. However, reliability is huge in fantasy sports and that gives Hanley a healthy cushion over Tulowitzki.
While he plays at a shallow position and has superstar ability, I still think that 2010 saw Pujols increase his lead over Hanley on draft boards and I also have Miguel Cabrera passing him as well. If you are drafting at the number two slot in your league, I don’t think you can go wrong with Miggy or Hanley. However, if it was my pick, I would take Miggy. Position scarcity still helps Hanley in overall rankings and, for that reason, I think he is closer to Cabrera than the numbers might suggest. The fact that Tulo has moved into the first round helps Hanley’s value because, if you are drafting second, drafting Miggy means that you will have to either reach for Reyes early or settle for much less from the shortstop position later.
Hanley Ramirez 2011 projection-582 abs, 316 avg, 28 hrs, 94 rbi, 34 sbs, 98 runs