Friday, December 15

Salary Cap Fantasy Football – Part Two

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Continuing on from my introductory article, here are some things to consider when
selecting players for your SCP team.

Keep in mind you may take a player that gets hurt in the first game – ala Tom
Brady in 2008 – and you may not be able to afford anyone else and have to go with
a lesser player. That can happen with any player, though, what I am telling you is
try not to put all your eggs in one basket, or better put: keep your options open.
Once the season starts and a player is doing well, his value goes up – you may not
be able to replace him without dropping high-dollar players at other positions in
order to free up cap space in order to buy a decent replacement whose value has
increased. That can kill you.

Also, look to see when the player you want has a BYE week – the earlier the better.
Reason being is a great QB on a Bye in week four will be cheaper to buy back IF you
were to drop him and take a replacement for that one game – but if your QB is having
a great year and has a Bye on week nine or ten, by that time his value may have
doubled -or more- by then, and you won’t be able to buy him back OR be able to grab
a suitable (cheap) replacement.
Your options are to keep him and take no points, drop him and not be able to buy
him back without turning the rest of your roster upside down, or taking a less
valuable that may not give you the results you need.

If a player was $10 at the beginning of the season and he does well, his value
by week nine may have tripled, or close to it. It happened to me when I took
Brett Favre prior to the 2009 season for $7, by the end of the season he was $27.
By the same token Drew Brees started at $14, and by the end of the season he was $32.

Players seem to go up in value quickly, but fall in value very slowly, such as
LaDainian Tomlinson in 2009 when San Diego seldom used him. If you buy a player
for $10 and his value goes to $25, if you drop him you only get $10 for him, not
$25, but guess what? If you drop him and want to buy him back it will cost you $25.

The point of all the above is, when you initially pick your roster, if you cannot
decide between two STUD players, take the one with the earlier bye week. That gives
you better options if you want to replace him during the bye week, but only you can
decide if you want to replace him, or if it is more worth it to keep him and take
zero points. Unless you see an obviously undervalued player you can get cheap and you
know will perform well, you may very well be better off taking zero points for one game.

Also keep in mind you might land a player that does not play. In 2009 some folks had
Michael Sims-Walker, WR for Jacksonville, and he was deactivated one hour prior to
kickoff in a game late in the season. Those that had him received no points from him.
NFL mandates that each team set their roster one hour prior to kickoff. By the same
token JAX could have kept him on the roster and not played him, but they would have
had to pay him, hence the reason for the deactivation. New England does this all the
time with their running backs. Beware.

I will be contributing more, but I cannot write much more until the hosts list the
predetermined salaries for each player and team defense later this summer.


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